Seminar 3: Brussels, April 24-25, 2008

Program Seminar 3
Location Seminar 3
Accommodation Seminar 3
Contact Seminar 3
Papers Seminar 3


The third strategy seminar examined the security aspects of climate change and energy. It was held in Brussels, home of the headquarters of both NATO and the EU: one a transatlantic security alliance increasingly preoccupied with the security challenges arising out of scarce energy resources and climate change, the other a European union of states increasingly concerned with providing security at home and abroad and in the process of developing coherent energy and climate change policies.

Program Seminar 3

(You can also download the agenda for the whole seminar-series here: Agenda What Price Energy Transformation)

The first day recalled the framework for the seminar series, and reviewed the summary of the first and second seminars, including "open points". It set the stage by examining present and future security risks arising out of climate change and competition for scarce energy resources, and asked what the consequences are for national security strategies and policies. Next, options for peaceful multilateral risk management were examined.

The dinner speeches provided an insight into current policy debates on managing the risks emanating from climate change and resource shortages at NATO and the European Council. Are existing frameworks and instruments sufficient for dealing with these new tasks – and do we even agree in our risk analysis and preferred responses? Is burden-sharing or partnering between NATO and the EU desirable and possible?

The three sessions on the second day were devoted to completing the group’s analysis of the climate change, energy and security nexus, to agreement of conclusions and policy recommendations, and to final editing of the report to be disseminated.

 

Thursday, April 24, 2008

   
10:30
Registration and Coffee
   
11:30 Session 1: Welcome, Recall and Outlook

Host: Corinna Hörst, Deputy Director, Brussels Office, The German Marshall Fund of the U.S., tbc
Sponsors:
X, German Embassy, Brussels
Co-Organizers:
Constanze Stelzenmüller, Director Berlin Office, German Marshall Fund of the U.S.
R. Andreas Kraemer, Director, Ecologic
Rapporteur (tbd): Agreed Analysis and Conclusions from 1st and 2nd Seminars

Papers Session 1

   
13:00 Lunch
   

14:00

Session 2: Climate Change and Security: A New Threat Landscape

What impact do extreme weather events, drought, flooding, rising sea levels, retreating glaciers, habitat shifts, the increased spread of life-threatening diseases, increasing competition for resources and migration have on national security today? What are the most realistic projections for the future? What are the implications for national security strategies and policy, for prevention, containment – and post-catastrophe management?

Chair/Moderator: Jeffrey Mazo, Managing Editor, Survival, The International Institute for Strategic Studies, London
Introduction: Julianne Smith, Director and Senior Fellow, Europe Program, Center for Strategic and International Studies
Introduction: Meinhard Schulz-Baldes, Secretary-General, German Advisory Council on Global Change, Berlin

Papers Session 2

   
15:30 Coffee Break
   
15:45 Session 3: Energy and Security: New Risks, New Tensions

The scramble for scarce fossil energy sources is creating new security risks and tensions. What are the regional flashpoints? What are the sector-specific risks? What aspects (critical infrastructure, pipelines, supply routes) of our open and globally connected political systems are particularly vulnerable, and to what (natural catastrophes, instability, terrorism)? What impact do these new risks have on strategy today, and what are the policy options for governments who seek to manage them in the future?

Chair/Moderator: Constanze Stelzenmüller, Director, Berlin Office, The German Marshall Fund of the U.S.
Introduction: Bernice Lee, Head, Energy, Environment and Development Programme, Royal Institute of International Affairs, Chatham House
Introduction: Helga Flores-Trejo, Executive Director, Heinrich-Böll Foundation North America

Papers Session 3

   
17:15 Coffee Break
   
17:30 Session 4: Is Peaceful Risk Management Possible? Options for Multilateral Regulation

The conventional wisdom is that the combined tensions arising out of climate change and the rising demand for scarce energy sources will create new global zero-sum games, or at least give rise to new resource nationalism(s) and ruthless realpolitik, which in themselves would create new global instabilities. What options are there for multilateral regulation, who would be the lead actors, what frameworks might be used?

Chair/Moderator: tbc
Introduction: Gero von Randow, DIE ZEIT
Introduction: Karsten Sach, Deputy Director General "International Cooperation", German Federal Ministry for the Environment, Nature Conservation and Nuclear Safety

Papers Session 4

   
19:00 Closure of Day 1 – Announcements
Reception (tbc)
   
20:00 Dinner – What Role for International Institutions in Confronting Security Threats Arising out of Climate Change and Competition for Scarce Energy Resources?

Location: Restaurant Poivre et Sel, Rue Du Parnasse 2, 1050 Brussels
Host: Corinna Hörst, Deputy Director, Brussels Office, The Ger-man Marshall Fund of the U.S., tbc
Chair/Moderator: tbc
Keynote Speaker: Jamie Shea, Head of Policy Planning, NATO

Papers Dinner

   
22:30 Transport to Hotel
   
   

Friday, April 25, 2008

   
8:30 Session 5: Where Do We (Want To) Go From Here

Breakfast Session; Distribution of Summary Points from Day 1

Chair/Moderator: Constanze Stelzenmüller & R. Andreas Kraemer

Papers Session 5

   
10:00 Coffee Break
   
10:15 Session 6: Lighting the Way (drafting session)

Presentation of a Draft Text by Rapporteur, Discussion

Papers Session 6

   
11:45 Coffee Break
   
12:00 Summary Session: Agreeing Analysis and Conclusions
   
13:00 Closure, Acknowledgements, Next Steps, Dissemination?
   
14:00 Departure – Drafting Committee copy-edits agreed analysis and conclusions

 

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Location Seminar 3

Information will be added as soon as available.

 

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Accommodation Seminar 3

Room reservations are made directly by the organizers. Please inform us as soon as possible about your travel schedule and we will make the room reservation for you.

Further information will be added as soon as available.

 

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Contact Seminar 3

For questions regarding the organization of the seminar please contact:

The German Marshall Fund of the United States

Peter Sparding
Oranienburger Str. 13-14
D-10178 Berlin
Tel.: +49 30 28 88 13 22
Fax: +49 30 28 88 13 10
E-Mail: psparding [at] gmfus.org
www.gmfus.org
 

For questions regarding the content of the seminar please contact:

Ecologic – Institute for International and European Environmental Policy

Sören Haffer
Pfalzburger Strasse 43/44
D-10717 Berlin
Tel.:+49 30 86 880 – 126
Fax:+49 30 86 880 – 100
E-Mail: soeren.haffer [at] ecologic.eu
www.ecologic.eu

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